METEOROLOGY (Part II)

Freezing Rain Risk

Freezing Rain Risk at Warm Front.  Langley Flying School.

This occurs whenever warm air is suspended above cold air.  When the warm air is suspended above the freezing level, snow is produced; however, when the warm air remains above the cold air and above-freezing temperatures are aloft, there is a high risk of freezing rain precipitation (supercooled water droplets).

 

Freezing Rain Risk associated with Warm Front (planview).  Langley Flying School.

 

An advancing freezing rain “belt” indicates rain aloft, and is usually preceded by ice pellets at lower levels, but this may not give warning at higher altitudes.  This situation is typically associated with warm fronts in winter.

Clouds and Precipitation of Active Weather

Clouds are formed in two fashions:

 

  1. moist air is cooled to its saturation point, producing condensation, when warm air comes in contact with a cold surface or the surface is cooled by radiation cooling, or is cooled by adiabatic expansion (rising air);
  2. and the air mass simply becomes saturated as it acquires more moisture from an external source (over bodies of water).  Of these two methods, however, adiabatic expansion is the more common.  Remember that air can be forced to rise by orographic lift, convection (caused by warm surfaces whereby the expansion of the air causes heating), frontal lift, turbulence, and convergence.

Visible vapour forms around condensation nuclei—dust, smoke, salt, pollution particles—and can combine to form raindrops (coalescence).  In stable cloud there is insufficient lift to cause a great deal of coalescence and the water particles fall to the ground as drizzle.  These can freeze to form freezing drizzle.

 

Hail originates in the middle region where the SCWD and ice collide, to form a frozen mass with air in the centre; as this mass falls through the lower region, water freezes on the mass to form hard transparent ice.  This process can be repeated many times as lift can again carry the hail back up to the middle region, forming large hail stones.

 

If the lower water level is thin, snow pellets form.

Fog

Fog is cloud, usually stratus, in contact with the ground; its appearance is associated with high relative humidity, a narrow dewpoint-temperature spread, and some form of cooling process that initiates the condensation.  Fog requires a mixing action by wind; without wind, dew will appear instead of fog.  Fog is more likely to occur in coastal areas (moisture), and is also more common in industrial (high concentration of airborne particulate).  Fog is dissipated by the sun’s heating of the surface below the fog layer.

 

Here are the six primary forms of fog:

 

Radiation Fog

  • Occurs on clear nights with light winds; the ground is cooled by radiation and so is the air in contact with the ground; commonly referred to as ground fog, it first develops in low-lying areas where the cooler air first accumulates; radiation fog sometimes forms during the few hours following sunrise, when the mixing of air is caused by the solar radiation; dissipation occurs when solar radiation exceeds radiation cooling.
  • Appears where high pressure forms in a maritime air mass, usually near a source of industrial pollution.

 

Advection Fog

  • Caused by the drifting of warm humid air over cooler land or sea surface; it may persist for days and is associated with coastal areas as the cool surface may not be affected by daytime heating, and spreads over land in association with sea breezes.
  • Appears in the Hudson Bay during the summer when moist warm air drifts over the cold water and ice surface, over the Great Lakes during the spring, when mT air flows over the relatively cold water of the lakes, and along the East Coast, especially during the summer, when mT from the Gulf Stream is cooled by the cold waters of the Labrador Current.

 

Upslope Fog

  • Caused when air is cooled as it is forced to move up a slope.
  • Appears in the Great Plains, which slope upward to the Rocky Mountains (from east to west); easterly winds often give rise to upslope fog.

 

Steam Fog (Arctic Sea Smoke)

  • Caused by cold air passing over the surface of water; the air is so cold that it can be easily saturated; the evaporation of a much warmer water surface immediately saturates the adjacent air; a pronounced low-level inversion must be present to prevent the now warmed saturated air from rising.
  • Appears in the Arctic and Hudson Bay when extremely cold air moves over areas of open water.

 

Precipitation-induced Fog

  • Caused by the additional moisture in the air due to the evaporation of rain or drizzle; it is associated with warm fronts and is referred to as frontal fog.

 

Ice Fog

  • Forms in extremely cold and calm conditions and is caused by sublimation associated with fuel combustion.
  • Appears in the Arctic during the winter near inhabited areas.

Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms can form when the air is unstable, there is some form of lifting action, and a high moisture content exists:

 

A thunderstorm begins with the formation of a convective cloud type such as cumulus or altocumulus castellanus.  If the air mass is conditionally or potentially unstable through a very deep layer, preferably extending up to the tropopause, and if it is very moist in its lower levels, the convective clouds may grow and merge into a “Cumulonimbus,” the thunderstorm cloud.  These clouds move with the general airflow within the troposphere, but set up small and violent circulations around and within themselves.1

 

The violent action associated with thunderstorms is caused by the formation of chimney-like structures in cumulus clouds based on convection currents.  As the superheated, moist air ascends rapidly, an equal amount of cooler air rushes down to replace it.  The active currents of updrafts and downdrafts are the predominant features which combine to form thunderstorm cells.

 

The updrafts and downdrafts are commonly large enough to engulf the aircraft completely, resulting in a gain or loss of 1000’ or more with little sign of turbulence.  Combined with this large-scale airflow, there are numerous irregular, random, sudden, and brief turbulent motions called gusts, which may vary in diameter from a few inches to several hundred feet.2

 

1 Air Command Weather Manual, P. 15-1.

2 Ibid.

 

Thunderstorms have three stages: cumulus, mature, and dissipated:

Cumulus Stage

Mature Stage

Thunderstorm General Features, Langley Flying School.

Severe Thunderstorm Features, Langley Flying School.

A tornado vortex is several hundred yards in diameter with the wind rotating rapidly around it with extremely low pressure in the centre.  If the vortex touches the ground, it is called a “Tornado”, if it remains aloft handing from the cloud base it is called a “Funnel Cloud”.  Either can extend upward into the cloud for over 30000 feet.  They are most common in the south and southwest parts of the thunderstorm and may enter the cloud in a line of innocent looking cumulus in a rain-free area extending several miles from the parent storm.  They tend to occur as families so if one is seen others are probably occurring.  Over water a tornado forms a “Waterspout.”

 

Fuigita Scale

Dissipation Stage

Thunderstorm Classifications

The classification of thunderstorms is based on the type of trigger that generates them and sets off the instability.  Some of the triggers—mountainous terrain, convective currents, or convergence—can occur anywhere in an air mass, and tend to produce widely scattered or isolated thunderstorms.  Triggers that produce more organized thunderstorms are frontal systems; here the thunderstorms tend to appear in a line, and they are more numerous.

Frontal Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms associated with warm fronts tend to be the least severe of all frontal thunderstorms.  This is owing to the shallowness of the frontal slope, which results in a more abrupt lifting.

 

The hazard for warm-front thunderstorms—related especially to IFR flight—is that they tend to be invisible during IMC flight.  Only if flight is conducted above the tops of stratiform clouds will the cloud structures of thunderstorms be visible.

In contrast, thunderstorms associated with cold fronts tend to be the most severe; here the lifting action tends to be move aggressive and concentrated locally, forming a more discernable single line of cells.

 

The advantage of cold-front thunderstorms is that they are more easily recognizable by the pilot who approaches the front from any direction.

Squall Line Thunderstorms

When a cold front is fast-moving, and moist, unstable, and warm air exists ahead of the front, a squall line of thunderstorms may develop.1  Squall-line thunderstorms often develop 100 to 200 miles in advance of, and roughly parallel to, a fast moving cold front.  They are known to form rapidly, and their tops are typically higher, and their bases lower, than normal thunderstorms.  As a rule, squall-line thunderstorms have the highest likelihood of developing into severe thunderstorms.

 

1 On occasion, squall lines can develop in association with low-pressure troughs, sea-breezes adjacent to a mountainous barrier, or the convergence of wind.

Thunderstorm Hazards

Turbulence

The two hazards associated with thunderstorm turbulence are loss of control and overstressing of the airframe.

 

The most extreme turbulence is found where updrafts and downdrafts are adjacent to one another—referred to as shear zones.  Here, the aircraft will encounter drafts moving in opposite directions.  Since downdrafts are associated with little or no rain, and updrafts associated with heavy rain, proximity to a shear zone will be indicated by rapid changes in the rainfall gradient over a very short distance flown.

 

As a rule, updrafts are normally stronger and are also larger both vertically and horizontally.  Also, they tend to be strongest in the middle and upper levels of the cloud structure; here the aircraft can be displaced upward at a rate of 6000’ per minute, although speeds of less than 3000’ per minute are more common.

 

In contrast, the strongest downdrafts are found in the middle levels of the cloud mass, and while they are generally weaker, they can be prolonged—incidents of 6000’ descents in downdrafts have been reported.

 

It is important to understand that the cloud structure is only the visible portion of turbulence of a thunderstorm.  As expected the severity of turbulence decreases with the distance from the storm centre.  Turbulence can be expected within a 20-mile radius of the thunderstorm, and up to 30 miles downwind within the anvil structure of severe storms. 

When airborne weather radar is used, the rule is avoid thunderstorm returns (heavy precipitation echoes) by 5 miles, when flying below the freezing level, by 10 miles when flying above the freezing level, and by 20 miles when flying above 30000’.  As well, severe or extreme turbulence can be expected in areas where strong weather radar echoes are separated by less than 30 miles.1

 

The risk of attempting to fly over a thunderstorm is that the aircraft is likely flying at or near the stall speed, and an encounter with turbulence might provoke a stall with the aircraft descending into the cloud structure.

 

Hail

The risks associated with encountering hail are comparable to those of encountering turbulence—severe airframe damage can occur from hail on all leading-edge surfaces, including the windshields.

 

All thunderstorms have hail in their interior at some point in their stages of development; commonly, however, the hail melts before reaching the ground.  The largest hail is found in severe thunderstorms, is usually produced during the mature stage of development, and is most likely encountered between 10000’ and 30000’.

Icing

Clear icing can rapidly accumulate in cumulus clouds and thunderstorms, with the heaviest icing appearing just above the freezing level where the highest concentration of super-cooled water droplets exist.  Remember, however, that severe icing may be encountered at any point between temperatures of 0° and -25° C.

Altimetry

The errors in indicated altitude associated with the passage of thunderstorm occur rapidly and can be as much as 150’; the risk here is particularly significant for aircraft conducting instrument approaches in IMC conditions.  The sequence typically followed is for there to be an abrupt fall in pressure as the storm approaches; as rain showers appear (typically with the first gust), and as the storm passes overhead, there is an abrupt rise in pressure; the pressure gradually returns to normal pressure as the thunderstorm moves on.

Lightning

Two types of lightning may be encountered by aircraft during flight in or near thunderstorm conditions—triggered lightning and natural lightning.  Triggered lightning is induced by the aircraft’s accumulation of static electricity as it flies through strong electric fields.  As the static electricity builds, there is a buildup of static noise in the communications equipment; at night a corona may become visible across the windshield or at the extremities of the aircraft.  The buildup will continue for several seconds, until there is a discharge in the form of lightning.  In contrast, when natural lightning occurs, it is simply a matter of the aircraft being in proximity at the time of discharge.  The voltages and current flow associated with natural lightning is far greater than that associated with triggered lighting.  Typically, natural lightning enters the aircraft at one extremity, such as the wing tip or nose, and exits at the other extremity—the other wing tip or tail, and then continues to the ground or to another cloud.  The lightning flash is typically composed of several strokes, each following the same path through the aircraft.  The path followed by the lightning is marked by a trail of small burn or pit marks called swept strokes.  The entry and exit points are usually where physical damage occurs to the airframe.  Indirectly, damage to lighting, magnetic compasses, and all electrical equipment can occur.  There have been instances of catastrophic fuel explosions.

 

1 Air Command Weather Manual, P. 15-13.

Thunderstorm Flight Procedures

The rule is avoid flight in thunderstorms, and to avoid flying in layered cloud without radar when embedded thunderstorms are present or are forecasted.  Airborne radar is only an avoidance tool, and not a penetration tool.  Early detours around cloud structures are preferred to late detours.  The following rules are published in Air Command Weather Manual:2

 

If you cannot avoid penetrating a thunderstorm, here are some dos before entering the storm:

Dos and don’ts during thunderstorm penetration:

Points regarding visual flight through thunderstorm areas:

2 P. 15-19 and 15-20.

Thunderstorm Wind Shear

Thunderstorm Windshear, Langley Flying School.

Most accidents related to wind shear are thunderstorm related.  There are two types of shears, referred to as increased-performance shears and decreased-performance shears.  An increased-performance shear occurs when the aircraft abruptly encounters an increased headwind component or a decreased tailwind component; it is indicated to the pilot in the form of an increase in indicated airspeed.  In contrast, a decreased-performance shear occurs when the aircraft abruptly encounters a decreased headwind component or an increased tailwind component.

 

In addition to shears, updrafts and downdrafts have less effect on airspeed, but more pronounced effect on aircraft lift.  When an aircraft encounters an updraft, the angle of attack will increase, producing an increase in the lift being generated; when downdrafts are encountered, the angle of attack decreases, producing a decrease in lift.

 

The risk of thunderstorm shear is greatest when a downdraft is centered on localizer during an approach.  When the outflow wind encounters the aircraft, the pilot experiences an increased-performance shear that results in high altitude and higher airspeed indications.  The erred response of the pilot may be to reduce power and increase the angle of attack so as to restore the aircraft back onto the glidepath.  Just as this is accomplished, the aircraft enters the rain shaft associated with the downdraft, but now with reduced airspeed, reduced power, and increased angle of attack. 

Traversing the downdraft core, the aircraft next encounters the outflow winds and the associated decreased-performance shear.  In this worst-case scenario, the pilot is now caught below the glidepath with decreased airspeed, high angle of attack, and low power settings. 

Icing

For aircraft during IFR flight, one of the greatest risks is that of icing.  This is especially the case for IFR aircraft operating in low level airspace where icing conditions can be the worst and where, typically, aircraft operating at these altitudes (piston aircraft) have ineffective or non-existent anti-ice or de-ice systems.1  The formation of ice will disrupt laminar flow over the aircraft surfaces.  For propeller aircraft, this disruption is a two-edged sword, as both the lift-producing surfaces become ineffective, but also the thrust-producing surfaces—the propeller blades.  In addition to the loss of lift, icing produces an increase in the weight of the aircraft, also producing greater demand for the now-diminished lift capabilities of the aircraft.  But that is not the end of it.  Just as the increased weight of the aircraft must be reckoned with using diminished lift, icing causes increased drag and a reduction in speed.  It is the propeller blades that must produce increased thrust to counter increased drag, but iced propellers become less and less effective in this function.  In short, the fundamental aerodynamics of an aircraft—lift/weight and thrust/drag—are undermined.  The path towards this undesired state is continuous and inevitable, unless the pilot can remove the aircraft from the icing conditions.  In the worst cases, the diminished performance of the aircraft inhibits the pilot’s ability to climb out of the icing conditions, while a restricted Minimum Enroute Altitude prohibits the aircraft from a descent.

 

While this is the big picture on icing conditions, there are many other less grand yet equally alarming effects of icing.  Ice can shed from propellers unevenly, causing destructive engine vibrations.  Antennas can be broken off with increased weight and drag, producing a loss of communication and navigation functions.  The movement of control surfaces can be inhibited by ice, restricting the pilot’s ability to control the aircraft.  Ice can cover the windscreen and block a pilot’s forward vision. 

 

1 Generally, an anti-ice system prevents ice from forming on critical aircraft surfaces; in contrast, de-ice systems remove ice that has already formed.

Super-cooled Water Droplet

At the core of the icing problem is a basic fact of physics: when ice crystals are warmed to above freezing temperatures, the melting process begins immediately; however, when a water droplet is cooled to below freezing temperatures, it does not freeze until it reaches a very cold temperature—possibly as low as -40° C.  This water droplet—existing at temperatures below freezing—is referred to as a super-cooled water droplet (SCWD), and it will instantly freeze if it is disturbed.  Contact with any portion of an aircraft during flight will provide such a disturbance.  Our land-based experience with SCWD is limited to freezing rain or freezing drizzle.  In the air, however, SCWD exists in cloud.  For the most part, any time you fly in cloud at below-freezing temperatures, SCWD will freeze on your aircraft.

 

Super-cooled Water Droplet distribution in cloud.  Langley Flying School.

 

Here are some meteorological factors associated with icing:

Aircraft Icing Types.  Langley Flying School.

Aircraft Icing and Temperatures.  Langley Flying School.

Factors effecting Aircraft Icing.  Langley Flying School.

Trace

Ice becomes perceptible.  The rate of accretion is slightly greater than the rate of sublimation.  It is not hazardous even though de-icing/anti-icing equipment is not utilized, unless encountered for an extended period of time (over 1 hour).

Light

The rate of accretion may create a problem if flight is prolonged in this environment (over 1 hour).  Occasional use of de-icing/anti-icing equipment removes/prevents accretion.  Light ice does not present a problem if the de-icing/anti-icing equipment is used.

Moderate

The rate of accretion is such that even short encounters become potentially hazardous and the use of de-icing/anti-icing equipment, or diversion, is necessary.

Severe

The rate of accretion is such that de-icing/anti-icing equipment fails to reduce or control the hazard.  Immediate diversion is necessary.

 

Icing rules of thumb

1 Air Command Weather Manual, P. 9-5.

Further Readings

Takeoff in Conditions of Freezing Drizzle and/or Light Freezing Rain (Fixed-Wing Airplanes)—Part II by Paul Carson, Flight Technical Inspector, Certification and Operational Standards, Standards, Civil Aviation, Transport Canada.

 

copyright